Politics119 days left
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
YES Price
94¢
94% implied
NO Price
6¢
6% implied
Volume
$63.4K
1,879 trades
Smart Whales
80
of 464 traders · 1 on both sides
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
2 MARKETS · $137.1K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
30 YESvs51 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 16 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 93%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$843+23 new NO$122
$121 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$62 of $4.9K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4.7K·NO $139YES Team
Total Invested
$5.9K
Avg Win Rate
63.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.7K(+63.8%)
Whales
30
S
ScottyNooo🥇
Entry 76¢·2,993.7 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$522
+$522INV $2.3K · WR 55.9%
B
Breezy-Entrance🥈
Entry 56¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
77.0%
Position P&L
+$762
+$762INV $1.1K · WR 77.0%
J
J-E-R🥉hedged
Entry 47¢·1,837.9 shares·also $1.4K on NO
Invested
$856
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$874
+$874INV $856 · WR 56.3%
B
BetterFish◆Proven
Entry 76¢·745.2 shares
Invested
$565
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$132
+$132INV $565 · WR 70.1%
Z
Zarshkahedged
Entry 41¢·933.7 shares·also $31 on NO
Invested
$384
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$490
+$490INV $384 · WR 62.3%
G
gopfan2◆Proven
Entry 55¢·220.5 shares
Invested
$122
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$84
+$84INV $122 · WR 60.0%
L
LR1hedged
Entry 40¢·300 shares·also $154 on NO
Invested
$119
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$163
+$163INV $119 · WR 62.5%
U
unrealizedgainstax0r
Entry 82¢·108.8 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $90 · WR 72.7%
W
WeJustBettin
Entry 84¢·83.2 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $70 · WR 86.6%
H
Hjklmhedged
Entry 50¢·102.2 shares·also $267 on NO
Invested
$51
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $51 · WR 88.0%
Showing top 10 of 30
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.0K
Avg Win Rate
68.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.3K(-77.2%)
Whales
51
J
J-E-R🥇hedged
Entry 53¢·2,732.9 shares·also $856 on YES
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-1279
$-1279INV $1.4K · WR 56.3%
I
influenz.eth🥈
Entry 29¢·1,315.5 shares
Invested
$385
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-308
$-308INV $385 · WR 85.8%
H
Hjklm🥉hedged
Entry 43¢·626.8 shares·also $51 on YES
Invested
$267
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-230
$-230INV $267 · WR 88.0%
L
LR1hedged
Entry 51¢·300 shares·also $119 on YES
Invested
$154
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-136
$-136INV $154 · WR 62.5%
N
NoMoreMister
Entry 63¢·157.3 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
88.4%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $99 · WR 88.4%
8
88mnm88
Entry 34¢·150 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $51 · WR 77.1%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 38¢·129.6 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $49 · WR 83.8%
E
eto1lol
Entry 61¢·74.2 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $45 · WR 85.4%
S
shine
Entry 75¢·60 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $45 · WR 89.3%
E
EdwardLewis
Entry 68¢·56.4 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $39 · WR 88.9%
Showing top 10 of 51
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