Geopolitics28 days left
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
YES Price
76¢
76% implied
NO Price
24¢
24% implied
Volume
$159.3K
2,230 trades
Smart Whales
116
of 634 traders
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
2 MARKETS · $322.4K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
49 YESvs67 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 40 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 98%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$21.3K+14 new NO$559
$40 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $22.0K is directional: YES $22.0K·NO $22YES Team
Total Invested
$23.0K
Avg Win Rate
70.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$453(+2.0%)
Whales
49
A
alwaysOn◆Proven🥇
Entry 70¢·11,678.5 shares
Invested
$8.2K
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
+$717
+$717INV $8.2K · WR 76.6%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 87¢·7,485.9 shares
Invested
$6.5K
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-831
$-831INV $6.5K · WR 57.5%
Z
zxdfbdfgngcxv◆Proven🥉
Entry 73¢·3,709.9 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
+$127
+$127INV $2.7K · WR 83.0%
T
The-Dove
Entry 81¢·1,035.5 shares
Invested
$838
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-51
$-51INV $838 · WR 65.9%
W
willsom
Entry 71¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$710
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $710 · WR 61.7%
C
cumprod◆Proven
Entry 73¢·700 shares
Invested
$510
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $510 · WR 81.1%
T
TTbillyhedged
Entry 81¢·600 shares·also $34 on NO
Invested
$486
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $486 · WR 77.7%
C
Chims◆Proven
Entry 74¢·646.6 shares
Invested
$482
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $482 · WR 85.1%
T
thegreatrejuvenationoftheChinesenation
Entry 70¢·614.3 shares
Invested
$430
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $430 · WR 57.9%
M
musicenthusiasthedged
Entry 39¢·948.8 shares·also $843 on NO
Invested
$374
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$347
+$347INV $374 · WR 58.1%
Showing top 10 of 49
NO Team
Total Invested
$15.2K
Avg Win Rate
77.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.2K(-20.9%)
Whales
67
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 48¢·5,902.5 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-1428
$-1428INV $2.8K · WR 72.0%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 42¢·3,496.7 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-641
$-641INV $1.5K · WR 87.6%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 70¢·1,318.9 shares
Invested
$928
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-612
$-612INV $928 · WR 85.9%
M
musicenthusiasthedged
Entry 89¢·948.8 shares·also $374 on YES
Invested
$843
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-615
$-615INV $843 · WR 58.1%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 48¢·1,706.3 shares
Invested
$820
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-411
$-411INV $820 · WR 86.1%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 18¢·1,575.6 shares
Invested
$276
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$102
+$102INV $276 · WR 85.8%
P
paspor
Entry 13¢·1,916.1 shares
Invested
$248
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$212
+$212INV $248 · WR 85.8%
L
LinaBell
Entry 18¢·1,019.4 shares
Invested
$184
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $184 · WR 65.3%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 25¢·602.4 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $150 · WR 89.1%
C
C.PM
Entry 16¢·765 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $120 · WR 85.6%
Showing top 10 of 67
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