GeopoliticsResolved79 days left

Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

100¢

100% implied

NO Price

0¢

0% implied

Volume

$102.6K

737 trades

Smart Whales

62

of 337 traders

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

11 MARKETS · $7.62M MATCHED

Smart Money

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

18¢+16¢$210.3K20/38

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+16¢18¢

Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

5¢+21¢$359.1K13/37

Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+21¢5¢

Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

100¢−50¢$4.9K5/5

Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−50¢100¢

Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

97¢−40¢$65.0K4/3

Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−40¢97¢

Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

72¢−19¢$15.1K8/7

Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−19¢72¢

Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

22¢+18¢$5852/3

Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+18¢22¢

Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

87¢−12¢$2533/1

Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−12¢87¢

Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026—55¢

Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026←

100¢−24¢$102.6K47/15

Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026←−24¢100¢

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

95¢−46¢$335.6K51/53

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026−46¢95¢

Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026

7¢+43¢$6.53M258/254

Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026+43¢7¢

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Smart Money Consensus

47 YESvs15 NO

76%24%

76% of smart money holding this market is on YES

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

YES Team

Total Invested

$18.6K

Avg Win Rate

67.1%

Aggregate P&L

+$18.0K(+96.3%)

Whales

47

RememberAmalekProven🥇

Entry 95¢·14,989 shares

+$724INV $14.3K · WR 64.4%

Entry 35¢·8,751.2 shares

+$5665INV $3.1K · WR 74.4%

Michael5289🥉

Entry 81¢·386.2 shares

+$75INV $311 · WR 95.0%

georgecalinescu8635

Entry 100¢·233.1 shares

+$0INV $233 · WR 69.7%

Entry 96¢·198 shares

+$9INV $189 · WR 76.1%

takemymoneyhedged

Entry 99¢·125.8 shares·also $0 on NO

+$1INV $125 · WR 82.3%

Entry 80¢·122 shares

+$24INV $98 · WR 87.3%

BeneGesseritVoiceProven

Entry 89¢·100 shares

+$11INV $89 · WR 73.0%

Entry 87¢·50 shares

+$6INV $44 · WR 88.2%

Entry 14¢·200 shares·also $216 on NO

+$172INV $28 · WR 57.1%

Showing top 10 of 47

NO Team

Total Invested

$11.9K

Avg Win Rate

77.3%

Aggregate P&L

-$11.9K(-99.5%)

Whales

15

third-eye🥇hedged

Entry 100¢·9,651.4 shares·also $26 on YES

$-9644INV $9.6K · WR 77.4%

Debosnys🥈hedged

Entry 100¢·900.8 shares·also $16 on YES

$-900INV $900 · WR 90.3%

KiruaTrading🥉

Entry 7¢·4,717.5 shares

$-324INV $324 · WR 61.5%

Entry 99¢·277.7 shares·also $6 on YES

$-276INV $276 · WR 89.8%

0xbc9fa38b...hedged

Entry 98¢·230 shares·also $21 on YES

$-225INV $225 · WR 67.4%

Entry 108¢·200 shares·also $28 on YES

$-216INV $216 · WR 57.1%

GenaTheBondKilIerhedged

Entry 93¢·150 shares·also $27 on YES

$-139INV $139 · WR 55.7%

LieutenantMiloMinderbinderhedged

Entry 87¢·146.2 shares·also $25 on YES

$-127INV $127 · WR 70.0%

TerranSupremacy

Entry 17¢·40 shares

$-7INV $7 · WR 67.2%

takemymoneyhedged

Entry 0¢·125.8 shares·also $125 on YES

$-0INV $0 · WR 82.3%

Showing top 10 of 15

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