YES Price
34¢
34% implied
NO Price
66¢
66% implied
Volume
$1.0K
47 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 47 traders
Highest temperature in Manila on November 15?
11 MARKETS · $3.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on November 15
0¢+100¢$851/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on November 15+100¢0¢
$851/0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on November 15
0¢+25¢$261/3Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on November 15+25¢0¢
$261/3
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on November 15
0¢+50¢$5653/3Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on November 15+50¢0¢
$5653/3
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on November 15
1¢+16¢$1791/5Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on November 15+16¢1¢
$1791/5
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 15
12¢+8¢$4761/4Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 15+8¢12¢
$4761/4
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 15
49¢−27¢$6202/7Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 15−27¢49¢
$6202/7
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 15←
34¢−7¢$1.0K3/8Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 15←−7¢34¢
$1.0K3/8
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 15
5¢+6¢$2061/8Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 15+6¢5¢
$2061/8
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on November 15
1¢+19¢$1941/4Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on November 15+19¢1¢
$1941/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs11 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 34¢
YES 21%NO 79%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 34¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 32% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 63%· net of hedges
$351
$552
+17 new YES · 2 smart whales+27 new NO · 10 smart whales
$152 bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on YES
YES 2NO 1one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on YES
1 wallet on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 29h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $31 is directional: YES $10·NO $21YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
64.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$6(+61.0%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$69
Avg Win Rate
76.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$61(+88.5%)
Whales
11
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 54¢·35 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $19 · WR 87.7%
K
kaxel78🥈
Entry 61¢·30 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $18 · WR 82.0%
R
Roflan-ludoman🥉
Entry 62¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $12 · WR 57.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 58¢·7.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 79.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 61¢·6.4 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 88.5%
H
HWReborn
Entry 58¢·5.4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 55.9%
N
Near-Science
Entry 59¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 57.5%
H
heyhighhhui2
Entry 58¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 61.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 59¢·4.8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 86.1%
T
twobonclay
Entry 0¢·12.3 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $0 · WR 59.5%
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