YES Price
49¢
49% implied
NO Price
51¢
51% implied
Volume
$620
31 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 40 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Manila on November 15?
11 MARKETS · $3.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on November 15
0¢+100¢$851/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on November 15+100¢0¢
$851/0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on November 15
0¢+25¢$261/3Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on November 15+25¢0¢
$261/3
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on November 15
0¢+50¢$5653/3Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on November 15+50¢0¢
$5653/3
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on November 15
1¢+16¢$1791/5Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on November 15+16¢1¢
$1791/5
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 15
12¢+8¢$4761/4Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 15+8¢12¢
$4761/4
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 15←
49¢−27¢$6202/7Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 15←−27¢49¢
$6202/7
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 15
34¢−7¢$1.0K3/8Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on November 15−7¢34¢
$1.0K3/8
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 15
5¢+6¢$2061/8Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 15+6¢5¢
$2061/8
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on November 15
1¢+19¢$1991/4Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on November 15+19¢1¢
$1991/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs9 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 49¢
YES 18%NO 82%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 49¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 34% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 53%· net of hedges
$89
$98
+12 new YES · 1 smart whale+16 new NO · 7 smart whales
$27 bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 71% of the money is not a bet
$20 of $28 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $3·NO $5YES Team
Total Invested
$13
Avg Win Rate
60.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$11(+86.8%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$67
Avg Win Rate
76.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-5.8%)
Whales
9
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 54¢·35 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $19 · WR 87.7%
K
kaxel78🥈
Entry 52¢·30 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $16 · WR 82.0%
R
Roflan-ludoman🥉hedged
Entry 63¢·20 shares·also $10 on YES
Invested
$13
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $13 · WR 57.3%
S
Sitiropikoh
Entry 53¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 68.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 52¢·7.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 79.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 52¢·6.4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 86.0%
B
buenpaoo23
Entry 53¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 63.4%
H
heyhighhhui2
Entry 52¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 61.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 52¢·4.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 86.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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