Politics54 days left
Will no second mandate to form a government be given after the 2026 Israeli election?
YES Price
54¢
54% implied
NO Price
46¢
46% implied
Volume
$1.3K
63 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 47 traders · 1 on both sides
Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government?
21 MARKETS · $7.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Amir Ohana receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+32¢$1641/2Will Amir Ohana receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢
$1641/2
Will Avigdor Lieberman receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+49¢$1842/2Will Avigdor Lieberman receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+49¢1¢
$1842/2
Will Ayelet Shaked receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+32¢$5681/2Will Ayelet Shaked receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢
$5681/2
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
34¢+6¢$1.9K4/6Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+6¢34¢
$1.9K4/6
Will Benny Gantz receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
2¢−2¢$1970/3Will Benny Gantz receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election−2¢2¢
$1970/3
Will Eli Cohen receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+32¢$2951/2Will Eli Cohen receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢
$2951/2
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+32¢$4691/2Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢
$4691/2
Will Gideon Sa’ar receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+32¢$2241/2Will Gideon Sa’ar receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢
$2241/2
Will Gilad Erdan receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+32¢$1881/2Will Gilad Erdan receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢
$1881/2
Will Israel Katz receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+32¢$1771/2Will Israel Katz receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢
$1771/2
Will Itamar Ben Gvir receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+32¢$3151/2Will Itamar Ben Gvir receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢
$3151/2
Will Moshe Feiglin receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+32¢$2761/2Will Moshe Feiglin receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢
$2761/2
Will Naftali Bennett receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+32¢$3151/2Will Naftali Bennett receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢
$3151/2
Will Nir Barkat receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+49¢$1661/1Will Nir Barkat receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+49¢1¢
$1661/1
Will Ofer Winter receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+24¢$1881/3Will Ofer Winter receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+24¢1¢
$1881/3
Will Yair Golan receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
8¢+17¢$2801/3Will Yair Golan receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+17¢8¢
$2801/3
Will Yair Lapid receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+32¢$1771/2Will Yair Lapid receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢
$1771/2
Will Yariv Levin receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢−1¢$970/1Will Yariv Levin receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election−1¢1¢
$970/1
Will Yoaz Hendel receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+24¢$2081/3Will Yoaz Hendel receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+24¢1¢
$2081/3
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Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs7 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 86% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 67%· net of hedges
+25 new YES$1.0K+27 new NO$658
$644 of this was bought on both sides by the same 15 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$33 of $156 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $106·NO $17YES Team
Total Invested
$123
Avg Win Rate
77.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$43(-35.3%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$236
Avg Win Rate
76.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$37(-15.5%)
Whales
7
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 62¢·185.6 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $115 · WR 71.9%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 46¢·85.3 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $40 · WR 87.6%
K
korda77🥉
Entry 62¢·43.7 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $27 · WR 84.8%
A
arcjuicehedged
Entry 62¢·40 shares·also $17 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $25 · WR 80.1%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 60¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $12 · WR 86.1%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 44¢·20.3 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $9 · WR 60.2%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 43¢·20.3 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 60.4%
Smart Whale Trades
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