Politics54 days left
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
YES Price
34¢
34% implied
NO Price
66¢
66% implied
Volume
$1.9K
77 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 48 traders · 2 on both sides
Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government?
21 MARKETS · $7.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Amir Ohana receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+32¢$1641/2Will Amir Ohana receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢
$1641/2
Will Avigdor Lieberman receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+49¢$1842/2Will Avigdor Lieberman receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+49¢1¢
$1842/2
Will Ayelet Shaked receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+32¢$5681/2Will Ayelet Shaked receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢
$5681/2
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election←
34¢+6¢$1.9K4/6Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election←+6¢34¢
$1.9K4/6
Will Benny Gantz receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
2¢−2¢$1970/3Will Benny Gantz receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election−2¢2¢
$1970/3
Will Eli Cohen receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+32¢$2951/2Will Eli Cohen receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢
$2951/2
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+32¢$4691/2Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢
$4691/2
Will Gideon Sa’ar receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+32¢$2241/2Will Gideon Sa’ar receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢
$2241/2
Will Gilad Erdan receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+32¢$1881/2Will Gilad Erdan receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢
$1881/2
Will Israel Katz receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+32¢$1771/2Will Israel Katz receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢
$1771/2
Will Itamar Ben Gvir receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+32¢$3151/2Will Itamar Ben Gvir receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢
$3151/2
Will Moshe Feiglin receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+32¢$2761/2Will Moshe Feiglin receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢
$2761/2
Will Naftali Bennett receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+32¢$3151/2Will Naftali Bennett receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢
$3151/2
Will Nir Barkat receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+49¢$1661/1Will Nir Barkat receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+49¢1¢
$1661/1
Will Ofer Winter receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+24¢$1881/3Will Ofer Winter receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+24¢1¢
$1881/3
Will Yair Golan receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
8¢+17¢$2801/3Will Yair Golan receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+17¢8¢
$2801/3
Will Yair Lapid receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+32¢$1771/2Will Yair Lapid receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢
$1771/2
Will Yariv Levin receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢−1¢$970/1Will Yariv Levin receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election−1¢1¢
$970/1
Will Yoaz Hendel receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election
1¢+24¢$2081/3Will Yoaz Hendel receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+24¢1¢
$2081/3
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs10 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 55% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 52%· net of hedges
+23 new YES$963+32 new NO$897
$445 of this was bought on both sides by the same 13 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 34% of the money is not a bet
$35 of $101 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $37·NO $30YES Team
Total Invested
$54
Avg Win Rate
72.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$101(+185.8%)
Whales
5
M
M2sx92kljs42🥇
Entry 29¢·74 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $21 · WR 71.0%
A
arcjuice🥈hedged
Entry 41¢·40 shares·also $26 on NO
Invested
$16
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $16 · WR 80.1%
A
Antony82🥉
Entry 29¢·28.9 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $8 · WR 63.5%
H
Honest-Surprisehedged
Entry 42¢·19.9 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$8
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 69.7%
C
Cherut
Entry 0¢·245.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$93
+$93INV $0 · WR 61.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$110
Avg Win Rate
83.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$53(+48.7%)
Whales
10
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 55¢·85.3 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $47 · WR 87.6%
A
arcjuice🥈hedged
Entry 65¢·40 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$26
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $26 · WR 80.1%
K
korda77🥉
Entry 35¢·43.7 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $15 · WR 84.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 25¢·50 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $12 · WR 71.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 78¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $8 · WR 86.1%
H
Honest-Surprisehedged
Entry 29¢·4.2 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 69.7%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 0¢·5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $0 · WR 59.8%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 0¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $0 · WR 60.0%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 0¢·5.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $0 · WR 60.3%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 0¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $0 · WR 60.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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