Politics54 days left

Will Ayelet Shaked receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

1¢

1% implied

NO Price

99¢

99% implied

Volume

$568

26 trades

Smart Whales

5

of 30 traders

Who will receive the second mandate to form Israel's next government?

21 MARKETS · $7.9K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will Amir Ohana receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election

1¢+32¢$1641/2

Will Amir Ohana receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢

Will Avigdor Lieberman receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election

1¢+49¢$1842/2

Will Avigdor Lieberman receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+49¢1¢

Will Ayelet Shaked receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election←

1¢+32¢$5681/2

Will Ayelet Shaked receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election←+32¢1¢

Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election

34¢+6¢$1.9K4/6

Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+6¢34¢

Will Benny Gantz receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election

2¢−2¢$1970/3

Will Benny Gantz receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election−2¢2¢

Will Eli Cohen receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election

1¢+32¢$2951/2

Will Eli Cohen receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢

Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election

1¢+32¢$4691/2

Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢

Will Gideon Sa’ar receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election

1¢+32¢$2241/2

Will Gideon Sa’ar receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢

Will Gilad Erdan receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election

1¢+32¢$1881/2

Will Gilad Erdan receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢

Will Israel Katz receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election

1¢+32¢$1771/2

Will Israel Katz receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢

Will Itamar Ben Gvir receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election

1¢+32¢$3151/2

Will Itamar Ben Gvir receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢

Will Moshe Feiglin receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election

1¢+32¢$2761/2

Will Moshe Feiglin receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢

Will Naftali Bennett receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election

1¢+32¢$3151/2

Will Naftali Bennett receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢

Will Nir Barkat receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election

1¢+49¢$1661/1

Will Nir Barkat receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+49¢1¢

Will Ofer Winter receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election

1¢+24¢$1881/3

Will Ofer Winter receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+24¢1¢

Will Yair Golan receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election

8¢+17¢$2801/3

Will Yair Golan receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+17¢8¢

Will Yair Lapid receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election

1¢+32¢$1771/2

Will Yair Lapid receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+32¢1¢

Will Yariv Levin receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election

1¢−1¢$970/1

Will Yariv Levin receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election−1¢1¢

Will Yoaz Hendel receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election

1¢+24¢$2081/3

Will Yoaz Hendel receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election+24¢1¢

Will Yossi Cohen receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election

1¢−1¢$1960/3

Will Yossi Cohen receive the second mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election−1¢1¢

Will no second mandate to form a government be given after the 2026 Israeli election

54¢−21¢$1.3K3/6

Will no second mandate to form a government be given after the 2026 Israeli election−21¢54¢

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs4 NO

20%80%

80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%

+13 new YES$4+6 new NO$326

0 smart whales3 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $11 is directional: YES $1·NO $9

YES Team

Total Invested

$1

Avg Win Rate

71.9%

Aggregate P&L

-$1(-48.5%)

Whales

1

Entry 1¢·138.4 shares

$-1INV $1 · WR 71.9%

NO Team

Total Invested

$53

Avg Win Rate

87.1%

Aggregate P&L

+$70(+132.3%)

Whales

4

Entry 80¢·49.7 shares

+$10INV $40 · WR 87.6%

qwen300.fund🥈

Entry 93¢·10 shares

+$1INV $9 · WR 86.1%

Entry 9¢·43.7 shares

+$40INV $4 · WR 84.8%

Entry 0¢·20.3 shares

+$20INV $0 · WR 60.0%

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