Politics156 days left
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive 24% or more of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
YES Price
23¢
23% implied
NO Price
77¢
77% implied
Volume
$1.6K
40 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 32 traders
French Presidential Election First Round: Mélenchon Vote Share?
6 MARKETS · $2.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive less than 12% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election
8¢−8¢$1650/2Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive less than 12% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election−8¢8¢
$1650/2
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 12% and 15% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election
9¢+24¢$2121/2Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 12% and 15% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election+24¢9¢
$2121/2
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 15% and 18% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election
19¢+6¢$2001/3Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 15% and 18% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election+6¢19¢
$2001/3
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 18% and 21% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election
19¢+14¢$1781/2Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 18% and 21% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election+14¢19¢
$1781/2
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Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs4 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 23¢
YES 33%NO 67%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 23¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 18% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 75%· net of hedges
$239
$678
+11 new YES · 1 smart whale+8 new NO · 2 smart whales
$55 bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $753 is directional: YES $135·NO $618YES Team
Total Invested
$135
Avg Win Rate
63.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$15(-10.8%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$658
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$34(+5.2%)
Whales
4
D
dogerfad🥇
Entry 74¢·690 shares
Invested
$513
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $513 · WR 60.0%
M
mskl🥈
Entry 72¢·146 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $105 · WR 66.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 79¢·40 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $31 · WR 71.9%
A
anothercoin
Entry 70¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 84.6%
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