Politics156 days left
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 18% and 21% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
YES Price
19¢
19% implied
NO Price
81¢
81% implied
Volume
$178
9 trades
Smart Whales
3
of 10 traders
French Presidential Election First Round: Mélenchon Vote Share?
6 MARKETS · $2.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive less than 12% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election
8¢−8¢$1650/2Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive less than 12% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election−8¢8¢
$1650/2
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 12% and 15% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election
9¢+24¢$2121/2Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 12% and 15% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election+24¢9¢
$2121/2
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 15% and 18% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election
19¢+6¢$2001/3Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 15% and 18% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election+6¢19¢
$2001/3
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 18% and 21% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election←
19¢+14¢$1781/2Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 18% and 21% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election←+14¢19¢
$1781/2
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Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs2 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 19¢
YES 33%NO 67%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 19¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5 is directional: YES $5·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$5
Avg Win Rate
79.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+29.8%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$28
Avg Win Rate
76.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-3.9%)
Whales
2
Smart Whale Trades
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