Politics156 days left
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive less than 12% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$165
5 trades
Smart Whales
3
of 7 traders
French Presidential Election First Round: Mélenchon Vote Share?
6 MARKETS · $2.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive less than 12% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election←
8¢−8¢$1650/2Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive less than 12% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election←−8¢8¢
$1650/2
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 12% and 15% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election
9¢+24¢$2121/2Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 12% and 15% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election+24¢9¢
$2121/2
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 15% and 18% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election
19¢+6¢$2001/3Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 15% and 18% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election+6¢19¢
$2001/3
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 18% and 21% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election
19¢+14¢$1781/2Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 18% and 21% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election+14¢19¢
$1781/2
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Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs2 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 8¢
YES 33%NO 67%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 8¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5 is directional: YES $5·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$5
Avg Win Rate
79.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-49.4%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$48
Avg Win Rate
73.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$1(+1.7%)
Whales
2
Smart Whale Trades
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