Politics156 days left

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 15% and 18% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

19¢

19% implied

NO Price

81¢

81% implied

Volume

$200

8 trades

Smart Whales

4

of 10 traders

French Presidential Election First Round: Mélenchon Vote Share?

6 MARKETS · $2.6K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive less than 12% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election

8¢−8¢$1650/2

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive less than 12% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election−8¢8¢

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 12% and 15% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election

9¢+24¢$2121/2

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 12% and 15% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election+24¢9¢

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 15% and 18% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election←

19¢+6¢$2001/3

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 15% and 18% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election←+6¢19¢

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 18% and 21% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election

19¢+14¢$1781/2

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 18% and 21% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election+14¢19¢

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 21% and 24% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election

27¢+6¢$2361/2

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive between 21% and 24% of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election+6¢27¢

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive 24% or more of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election

23¢+2¢$1.6K1/3

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon receive 24% or more of the vote in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election+2¢23¢

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs3 NO

Wallets vs price

Price 19¢

YES 25%NO 75%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 19¢

Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Teams by

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $15 is directional: YES $15·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$15

Avg Win Rate

56.1%

Aggregate P&L

-$2(-13.9%)

Whales

1

Entry 19¢·80 shares

$-2INV $15 · WR 56.1%

NO Team

Total Invested

$70

Avg Win Rate

77.0%

Aggregate P&L

-$0(-0.2%)

Whales

3

Entry 79¢·40 shares

+$1INV $32 · WR 71.9%

mustbethewater🥈

Entry 79¢·34 shares

+$1INV $27 · WR 79.6%

anothercoin🥉

Entry 94¢·12.8 shares

$-2INV $12 · WR 84.6%

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