Politics8 days left
Will the Opportunity Party win 7-9 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
YES Price
45¢
45% implied
NO Price
55¢
55% implied
Volume
$836
21 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 22 traders
NZ Election: Opportunity Party # of seats?
5 MARKETS · $1.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Opportunity Party win fewer than 4 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
34¢+6¢$1582/3Will the Opportunity Party win fewer than 4 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election+6¢34¢
$1582/3
Will the Opportunity Party win 4-6 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
39¢−14¢$1701/3Will the Opportunity Party win 4-6 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election−14¢39¢
$1701/3
Will the Opportunity Party win 7-9 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election←
45¢−7¢$8363/5Will the Opportunity Party win 7-9 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election←−7¢45¢
$8363/5
Will the Opportunity Party win 10-12 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
28¢−8¢$2841/4Will the Opportunity Party win 10-12 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election−8¢28¢
$2841/4
Will the Opportunity Party win 13 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
39¢−14¢$1351/3Will the Opportunity Party win 13 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election−14¢39¢
$1351/3
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Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs5 NO
38%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 50%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$225+5 new NO$222
$38 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $205 is directional: YES $204·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$209
Avg Win Rate
58.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$36(+17.1%)
Whales
3
M
musicenthusiast🥇
Entry 49¢·320 shares
Invested
$158
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $158 · WR 58.2%
A
Antony82🥈
Entry 28¢·164 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $47 · WR 60.2%
1
1walrus🥉hedged
Entry 13¢·40 shares·also $29 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $5 · WR 64.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$85
Avg Win Rate
73.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$18(-20.7%)
Whales
5
M
mustbethewater🥇
Entry 71¢·50 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $36 · WR 79.6%
1
1walrus🥈hedged
Entry 74¢·40 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$29
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $29 · WR 64.9%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 58¢·20 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $12 · WR 72.0%
L
luciebot
Entry 81¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $8 · WR 81.4%
T
TheOne777◆Proven
Entry 25¢·1.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 76.6%
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