Politics8 days left
Will the Opportunity Party win fewer than 4 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
YES Price
34¢
34% implied
NO Price
66¢
66% implied
Volume
$158
12 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 15 traders
NZ Election: Opportunity Party # of seats?
5 MARKETS · $1.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Opportunity Party win fewer than 4 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election←
34¢+6¢$1582/3Will the Opportunity Party win fewer than 4 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election←+6¢34¢
$1582/3
Will the Opportunity Party win 4-6 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
39¢−14¢$1701/3Will the Opportunity Party win 4-6 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election−14¢39¢
$1701/3
Will the Opportunity Party win 7-9 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
45¢−7¢$8363/5Will the Opportunity Party win 7-9 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election−7¢45¢
$8363/5
Will the Opportunity Party win 10-12 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
28¢−8¢$2841/4Will the Opportunity Party win 10-12 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election−8¢28¢
$2841/4
Will the Opportunity Party win 13 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
39¢−14¢$1351/3Will the Opportunity Party win 13 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election−14¢39¢
$1351/3
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Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs3 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $10 is directional: YES $9·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$9
Avg Win Rate
63.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$19(+208.0%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$29
Avg Win Rate
73.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$8(-28.5%)
Whales
3
Smart Whale Trades
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