Politics8 days left
Will the Opportunity Party win 10-12 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
YES Price
28¢
28% implied
NO Price
72¢
72% implied
Volume
$284
18 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 17 traders
NZ Election: Opportunity Party # of seats?
5 MARKETS · $1.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Opportunity Party win fewer than 4 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
34¢+6¢$1582/3Will the Opportunity Party win fewer than 4 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election+6¢34¢
$1582/3
Will the Opportunity Party win 4-6 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
39¢−14¢$1701/3Will the Opportunity Party win 4-6 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election−14¢39¢
$1701/3
Will the Opportunity Party win 7-9 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
45¢−7¢$8363/5Will the Opportunity Party win 7-9 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election−7¢45¢
$8363/5
Will the Opportunity Party win 10-12 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election←
28¢−8¢$2841/4Will the Opportunity Party win 10-12 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election←−8¢28¢
$2841/4
Will the Opportunity Party win 13 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election
39¢−14¢$1351/3Will the Opportunity Party win 13 or more seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election−14¢39¢
$1351/3
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Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs4 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 41% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $19 is directional: YES $8·NO $11YES Team
Total Invested
$8
Avg Win Rate
64.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-49.1%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$34
Avg Win Rate
75.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$17(+52.1%)
Whales
4
R
RewardsProduction🥇
Entry 55¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $11 · WR 66.2%
L
liikujyfh🥈
Entry 45¢·20 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $9 · WR 88.2%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 45¢·20 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $9 · WR 72.0%
L
luciebot
Entry 45¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 81.4%
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