Politics23 days left
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$43.7K
295 trades
Smart Whales
32
of 69 traders
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
3 MARKETS · $93.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate←
10¢—$43.7K0/0Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate←—10¢
$43.7K0/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs25 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 29% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+26 new YES$4.4K+62 new NO$39.0K
$1.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 18 buyers — left out of momentum
8 smart whales29 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4.0K is directional: YES $1.1K·NO $2.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
70.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$18(-1.4%)
Whales
7
M
MisTKy🥇
Entry 10¢·10,696.4 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $1.1K · WR 71.3%
W
whig◆Proven🥈
Entry 8¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $80 · WR 63.1%
A
Anon07🥉
Entry 10¢·450 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $45 · WR 74.4%
S
Shy-Note◆Proven
Entry 8¢·211.2 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $18 · WR 56.8%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 8¢·100 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 56.0%
T
Torn-Myth
Entry 8¢·54.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 64.9%
O
OffRoadTraveler
Entry 11¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 63.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$10.8K
Avg Win Rate
76.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+14.5%)
Whales
25
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 90¢·3,633.3 shares
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $3.3K · WR 85.9%
C
classified◆Proven🥈
Entry 90¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1.8K · WR 82.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 89¢·1,484.8 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $1.3K · WR 72.2%
C
Car
Entry 90¢·822.6 shares
Invested
$740
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $740 · WR 64.9%
L
lpgb
Entry 50¢·1,036 shares
Invested
$518
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$416
+$416INV $518 · WR 76.0%
M
melchior1248
Entry 50¢·800 shares
Invested
$400
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$321
+$321INV $400 · WR 69.2%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 90¢·300 shares
Invested
$270
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $270 · WR 84.5%
B
badatthis
Entry 89¢·300 shares
Invested
$267
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $267 · WR 64.0%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 90¢·262.9 shares
Invested
$237
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $237 · WR 59.6%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 91¢·260.9 shares
Invested
$236
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $236 · WR 59.6%
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