Politics23 days left
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$32.7K
266 trades
Smart Whales
32
of 66 traders
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
3 MARKETS · $93.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate
10¢—$43.7K0/0Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate—10¢
$43.7K0/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs25 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 14% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+32 new YES$2.7K+56 new NO$31.1K
$1.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 20 buyers — left out of momentum
9 smart whales27 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6.2K is directional: YES $884·NO $5.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$921
Avg Win Rate
72.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$116(-12.6%)
Whales
7
M
MisTKy🥇
Entry 8¢·8,777.3 shares
Invested
$694
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $694 · WR 71.3%
R
rainbowlilies🥈
Entry 25¢·515.4 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $129 · WR 84.8%
S
ScottyNooo🥉
Entry 6¢·750 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $47 · WR 56.0%
S
Shy-Note◆Proven
Entry 5¢·211.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $11 · WR 56.8%
B
badatthis
Entry 6¢·59.7 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 64.0%
Showing top 5 of 7
NO Team
Total Invested
$16.9K
Avg Win Rate
73.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.3K(+13.9%)
Whales
25
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 75¢·6,082.8 shares
Invested
$4.6K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1066
+$1066INV $4.6K · WR 85.9%
M
Monumental-Injustice🥈
Entry 92¢·2,979.6 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $2.7K · WR 69.2%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 80¢·2,969.6 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$370
+$370INV $2.4K · WR 69.2%
C
classified◆Proven
Entry 92¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1.4K · WR 82.7%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 66¢·1,415.7 shares
Invested
$928
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$382
+$382INV $928 · WR 59.8%
D
DerDon◆Proven
Entry 92¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$923
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $923 · WR 56.5%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 75¢·870.8 shares
Invested
$650
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$156
+$156INV $650 · WR 59.6%
L
lpgb
Entry 92¢·518 shares
Invested
$477
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $477 · WR 76.0%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 93¢·400 shares
Invested
$372
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $372 · WR 84.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 91¢·400 shares
Invested
$364
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $364 · WR 72.2%
Showing top 10 of 25
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