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Geopolitics7 days left

Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
79¢
79% implied
NO Price
21¢
21% implied
Volume
$508
139 trades
Smart Whales
35
of 87 traders

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

30 MARKETS · $8.9K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

19 YESvs16 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 90% YES by dollars · 17 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 84%· net of hedges
+52 new YES$402+43 new NO$106
$74 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
19 smart whales16 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $121 is directional: YES $109·NO $12
YES Team
Total Invested
$113
Avg Win Rate
58.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-0.2%)
Whales
19
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 78¢·69.5 shares
+$0INV $54 · WR 57.8%
L
Long-Venue🥈
Entry 79¢·50.6 shares
$-0INV $40 · WR 58.1%
1
0x19761e08...🥉
Entry 80¢·1.2 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 58.1%
8
0x816df256...
Entry 80¢·1.2 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 58.5%
C
0xc3555616...
Entry 80¢·1.2 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 63.0%
1
0x1b631641...
Entry 80¢·1.2 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 58.1%
3
0x368a6d83...
Entry 80¢·1.2 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 58.6%
3
0x36c1b43e...
Entry 80¢·1.2 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 56.3%
3
0x3c820fd0...
Entry 80¢·1.2 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 60.4%
4
0x40e70f3b...
Entry 80¢·1.2 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 58.6%
Showing top 10 of 19

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Price History (YES)

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