Tech/AI266 days left
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?
YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$6.5K
276 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 71 traders
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
4 MARKETS · $20.8K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs9 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%· net of hedges
+16 new YES$342+17 new NO$1.0K
$173 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $761 is directional: YES $129·NO $632YES Team
Total Invested
$601
Avg Win Rate
61.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$292(-48.5%)
Whales
5
B
BAO95889🥇hedged
Entry 95¢·277.7 shares·also $44 on NO
Invested
$263
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-209
$-209INV $263 · WR 56.9%
M
molodoyy🥈hedged
Entry 134¢·155.4 shares·also $58 on NO
Invested
$208
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
$-177
$-177INV $208 · WR 63.5%
I
iutwpfal🥉
Entry 16¢·513.2 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
74.0%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $82 · WR 74.0%
K
KiruaTrading
Entry 8¢·609 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $47 · WR 61.3%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 88¢·1 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 68.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$740
Avg Win Rate
67.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$177(+23.9%)
Whales
9
B
Bersa1202🥇
Entry 84¢·361.4 shares
Invested
$302
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $302 · WR 81.6%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 82¢·200 shares
Invested
$164
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $164 · WR 57.7%
N
NoTeacher🥉
Entry 84¢·161 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $135 · WR 56.1%
M
molodoyyhedged
Entry 38¢·155.4 shares·also $208 on YES
Invested
$58
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$67
+$67INV $58 · WR 63.5%
B
BAO95889hedged
Entry 21¢·203.4 shares·also $263 on YES
Invested
$44
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$120
+$120INV $44 · WR 56.9%
P
parameter1
Entry 76¢·39.8 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $30 · WR 61.6%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 29¢·18.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $5 · WR 84.7%
W
Welcome2026
Entry 73¢·1.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 56.8%
B
big-bird1hedged
Entry 16¢·1 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$0
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 68.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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