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Tech/AI266 days left

Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
80¢
80% implied
NO Price
20¢
20% implied
Volume
$2.6K
178 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 61 traders

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

4 MARKETS · $20.8K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs4 NO
60%40%
60% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 61%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$456+29 new NO$322
$178 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $165 is directional: YES $158·NO $7
YES Team
Total Invested
$223
Avg Win Rate
68.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$117(+52.7%)
Whales
6
I
iutwpfal🥇
Entry 75¢·160 shares
+$17INV $120 · WR 74.0%
S
SusanWarrenHRProven🥈
Entry 66¢·50 shares
+$10INV $33 · WR 67.5%
N
NoTeacher🥉hedged
Entry 29¢·112 shares·also $66 on NO
+$57INV $32 · WR 56.1%
B
BAO95889hedged
Entry 55¢·40 shares·also $27 on NO
+$10INV $22 · WR 56.9%
T
techhawk
Entry 26¢·40.5 shares
+$22INV $11 · WR 62.7%
V
VolynMolfar
Entry 66¢·7.5 shares
+$2INV $5 · WR 66.3%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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