Tech/AI266 days left
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?
YES Price
41¢
41% implied
NO Price
59¢
59% implied
Volume
$6.5K
323 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 93 traders
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
4 MARKETS · $20.8K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs11 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 60% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 70%· net of hedges
+19 new YES$595+31 new NO$1.2K
$342 of this was bought on both sides by the same 13 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $708 is directional: YES $428·NO $280YES Team
Total Invested
$782
Avg Win Rate
63.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$41(-5.3%)
Whales
6
I
iutwpfal🥇
Entry 36¢·738.7 shares
Invested
$269
Win Rate
74.0%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $269 · WR 74.0%
B
BAO95889🥈hedged
Entry 81¢·255.9 shares·also $73 on NO
Invested
$208
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-103
$-103INV $208 · WR 56.9%
K
KiruaTrading🥉
Entry 35¢·455.6 shares
Invested
$158
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$86
+$86INV $158 · WR 61.3%
N
NoTeacherhedged
Entry 67¢·208.1 shares·also $78 on NO
Invested
$139
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $139 · WR 56.1%
Y
yoyo424269hedged
Entry 32¢·20 shares·also $13 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $6 · WR 70.4%
O
ogi250
Entry 36¢·5.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 58.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$450
Avg Win Rate
61.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$67(+14.9%)
Whales
11
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥇
Entry 61¢·312 shares
Invested
$189
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $189 · WR 63.5%
N
NoTeacher🥈hedged
Entry 36¢·214 shares·also $139 on YES
Invested
$78
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $78 · WR 56.1%
B
BAO95889🥉hedged
Entry 36¢·200 shares·also $208 on YES
Invested
$73
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $73 · WR 56.9%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 61¢·65 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $40 · WR 57.7%
S
SusanWarrenHR◆Proven
Entry 79¢·40 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $32 · WR 67.5%
Y
yoyo424269hedged
Entry 66¢·20 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$13
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $13 · WR 70.4%
_
_test_i075_CAND_11b7
Entry 63¢·11.9 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $8 · WR 58.8%
C
chatwww
Entry 65¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $6 · WR 84.6%
E
evro100
Entry 64¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 58.3%
V
VolynMolfar
Entry 81¢·5.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 66.3%
Showing top 10 of 11
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1017ms