19 days left
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be at least 12 hours?
YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$2.4K
172 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 51 traders · 1 on both sides
Longest GitHub critical incident in October?
5 MARKETS · $15.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be less than 1 hour
3¢−3¢$1.9K0/5Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be less than 1 hour−3¢3¢
$1.9K0/5
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours
3¢−3¢$1.1K0/5Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours−3¢3¢
$1.1K0/5
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours
51¢+9¢$4.6K6/4Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours+9¢51¢
$4.6K6/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs9 NO
10%90%
90% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$74+14 new NO$853
$84 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$7 of $327 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $0·NO $320YES Team
Total Invested
$4
Avg Win Rate
79.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-25.9%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$405
Avg Win Rate
68.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$155(+38.4%)
Whales
9
M
Mrpike🥇
Entry 88¢·227.4 shares
Invested
$201
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $201 · WR 69.6%
W
Witty-Birch🥈
Entry 93¢·108.2 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $100 · WR 64.7%
Q
QR1🥉
Entry 24¢·211.3 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$136
+$136INV $50 · WR 62.9%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $20 · WR 79.2%
A
Affectionate-Mongerhedged
Entry 85¢·20 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$17
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $17 · WR 79.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $10 · WR 66.8%
H
hamid1919
Entry 79¢·6.4 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 75.9%
H
Hazel1122
Entry 73¢·1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 55.8%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 3¢·10 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $0 · WR 84.5%
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