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19 days left

Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$4.6K
286 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 87 traders · 1 on both sides

Longest GitHub critical incident in October?

5 MARKETS · $15.8K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs6 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 69%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$544+29 new NO$836
$630 of this was bought on both sides by the same 15 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$34 of $306 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $272·NO $0
YES Team
Total Invested
$378
Avg Win Rate
65.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$131(+34.6%)
Whales
6
Q
QR1🥇
Entry 36¢·570.1 shares
+$77INV $208 · WR 62.9%
W
Witty-Birch🥈
Entry 32¢·196.4 shares
+$36INV $62 · WR 64.7%
M
Majas🥉hedged
Entry 42¢·145 shares·also $44 on NO
+$12INV $60 · WR 67.4%
B
BigAIIProven
Entry 50¢·50 shares
—INV $25 · WR 70.9%
A
Affectionate-Mongerhedged
Entry 39¢·49.4 shares·also $17 on NO
+$5INV $19 · WR 79.1%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 53¢·6 shares
$-0INV $3 · WR 68.9%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 50% YES: GitHub's longest critical incident…