Tech/AI9 days left
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 6, 2026?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$379
25 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 22 traders
Next Claude Sonnet released on...?
20 MARKETS · $9.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 1, 2026
1¢+16¢$5501/5Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 1, 2026+16¢1¢
$5501/5
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 10, 2026
1¢+19¢$1231/4Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 10, 2026+19¢1¢
$1231/4
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 11, 2026
1¢+24¢$2081/3Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 11, 2026+24¢1¢
$2081/3
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 12, 2026
1¢+49¢$1902/2Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 12, 2026+49¢1¢
$1902/2
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 13, 2026
3¢+17¢$3421/4Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 13, 2026+17¢3¢
$3421/4
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 14, 2026
3¢+17¢$4511/4Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 14, 2026+17¢3¢
$4511/4
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 15, 2026
3¢−3¢$4250/5Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 15, 2026−3¢3¢
$4250/5
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 2, 2026
1¢+24¢$2161/3Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 2, 2026+24¢1¢
$2161/3
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 3, 2026
2¢+15¢$1351/5Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 3, 2026+15¢2¢
$1351/5
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 4, 2026
3¢+17¢$1371/4Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 4, 2026+17¢3¢
$1371/4
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 5, 2026
3¢+17¢$1541/4Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 5, 2026+17¢3¢
$1541/4
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 6, 2026←
2¢+15¢$3791/5Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 6, 2026←+15¢2¢
$3791/5
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 7, 2026
10¢+65¢$933/1Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 7, 2026+65¢10¢
$933/1
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 8, 2026
4¢+56¢$973/2Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 8, 2026+56¢4¢
$973/2
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 9, 2026
1¢+59¢$933/2Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 9, 2026+59¢1¢
$933/2
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 27, 2026
0¢0¢$3690/6Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 27, 20260¢0¢
$3690/6
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026
53¢−15¢$2.8K3/5Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026−15¢53¢
$2.8K3/5
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 29, 2026
45¢−25¢$1.7K1/4Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 29, 2026−25¢45¢
$1.7K1/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs6 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%
+8 new YES$12+4 new NO$254
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $243 is directional: YES $13·NO $230YES Team
Total Invested
$13
Avg Win Rate
72.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$8(-64.5%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$291
Avg Win Rate
61.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$67(+22.8%)
Whales
6
G
gambler925🥇
Entry 95¢·241.5 shares
Invested
$230
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $230 · WR 56.6%
D
Defensive-Attachment🥈
Entry 50¢·37.8 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $19 · WR 69.1%
C
Clever-Catalysis🥉
Entry 50¢·25.4 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $13 · WR 80.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 85.7%
H
highstake.fund
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 85.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 88.1%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 308ms