Tech/AI8 days left
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 5, 2026?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$154
21 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 15 traders
Next Claude Sonnet released on...?
20 MARKETS · $9.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 1, 2026
1¢+16¢$5501/5Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 1, 2026+16¢1¢
$5501/5
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 10, 2026
1¢+19¢$1231/4Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 10, 2026+19¢1¢
$1231/4
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 11, 2026
1¢+24¢$2081/3Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 11, 2026+24¢1¢
$2081/3
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 12, 2026
1¢+49¢$1902/2Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 12, 2026+49¢1¢
$1902/2
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 13, 2026
3¢+17¢$3421/4Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 13, 2026+17¢3¢
$3421/4
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 14, 2026
3¢+17¢$4511/4Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 14, 2026+17¢3¢
$4511/4
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 15, 2026
3¢−3¢$4250/5Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 15, 2026−3¢3¢
$4250/5
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 2, 2026
1¢+24¢$2161/3Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 2, 2026+24¢1¢
$2161/3
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 3, 2026
2¢+15¢$1351/5Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 3, 2026+15¢2¢
$1351/5
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 4, 2026
3¢+17¢$1371/4Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 4, 2026+17¢3¢
$1371/4
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 5, 2026←
3¢+17¢$1541/4Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 5, 2026←+17¢3¢
$1541/4
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 6, 2026
2¢+15¢$3791/5Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 6, 2026+15¢2¢
$3791/5
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 7, 2026
10¢+65¢$933/1Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 7, 2026+65¢10¢
$933/1
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 8, 2026
4¢+56¢$973/2Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 8, 2026+56¢4¢
$973/2
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 9, 2026
1¢+59¢$933/2Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 9, 2026+59¢1¢
$933/2
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 27, 2026
0¢0¢$3690/6Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 27, 20260¢0¢
$3690/6
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026
53¢−15¢$2.8K3/5Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026−15¢53¢
$2.8K3/5
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 29, 2026
45¢−25¢$1.7K1/4Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 29, 2026−25¢45¢
$1.7K1/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs4 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
+5 new YES$1+3 new NO$25
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $12 is directional: YES $12·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$12
Avg Win Rate
72.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-31.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$49
Avg Win Rate
91.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$46(+94.3%)
Whales
4
V
Vengeful-Coast-Stalk🥇
Entry 50¢·37.8 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $19 · WR 100.0%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 89.3%
H
highstake.fund🥉
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 85.7%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 85.4%
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