🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
Tech/AI5 days left

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 2, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$216
23 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 17 traders

Next Claude Sonnet released on...?

20 MARKETS · $9.3K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs4 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 80%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$9+4 new NO$33
$2 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $10 is directional: YES $10·NO $0
YES Team
Total Invested
$10
Avg Win Rate
72.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$7(-71.4%)
Whales
1
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 4¢·227 shares
$-7INV $10 · WR 72.0%

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 227ms