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Tech/AI1 days left

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
79¢
79% implied
NO Price
21¢
21% implied
Volume
$2.5K
106 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 42 traders

Next Claude Opus released by...?

7 MARKETS · $204.2K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs4 NO
64%36%
64% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 93% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 71%· net of hedges
+24 new YES$2.0K+30 new NO$941
$451 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
8 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $737 is directional: YES $686·NO $50
YES Team
Total Invested
$686
Avg Win Rate
66.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$120(+17.4%)
Whales
7
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 64¢·603.3 shares
+$102INV $384 · WR 72.0%
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate🥈
Entry 77¢·220.9 shares
+$8INV $169 · WR 56.3%
Z
ZalphaAI🥉
Entry 75¢·168.3 shares
+$9INV $126 · WR 64.9%
B
big-bird1
Entry 79¢·3.9 shares
+$0INV $3 · WR 68.1%
F
0xf8d7b62b...
Entry 77¢·2.1 shares
+$0INV $2 · WR 62.2%
5
0x59dd19c6...
Entry 76¢·1.3 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 66.7%
3
0x3df403cb...
Entry 76¢·1.3 shares
+$0INV $1 · WR 62.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 73% YES: the next Claude Opus model be released…