Tech/AI2 days left
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 23, 2026?
YES Price
91¢
91% implied
NO Price
9¢
9% implied
Volume
$2.6K
92 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 40 traders · 1 on both sides
Next Claude Opus released by...?
7 MARKETS · $208.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs3 NO
57%43%
57% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 96% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 83%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$1.9K+37 new NO$517
$315 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$11 of $335 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $312·NO $12YES Team
Total Invested
$329
Avg Win Rate
69.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$87(+26.3%)
Whales
4
B
balthazar🥇hedged
Entry 70¢·271 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$191
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $191 · WR 72.0%
Z
ZalphaAI🥈
Entry 81¢·156.4 shares
Invested
$126
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $126 · WR 64.9%
H
hithitfar🥉hedged
Entry 51¢·19 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$10
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $10 · WR 58.8%
H
huiegj
Entry 13¢·20 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $3 · WR 86.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$34
Avg Win Rate
64.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$15(-43.3%)
Whales
3
H
hithitfar🥇hedged
Entry 85¢·19 shares·also $10 on YES
Invested
$16
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $16 · WR 58.8%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 12¢·99.9 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $12 · WR 68.4%
B
balthazar🥉hedged
Entry 9¢·59 shares·also $191 on YES
Invested
$5
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 72.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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