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Tech/AI9 days left

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
59¢
59% implied
NO Price
41¢
41% implied
Volume
$2.8K
108 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 43 traders

Next Claude Opus released by...?

7 MARKETS · $98.8K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

8 YESvs3 NO
73%27%
73% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 50%· net of hedges
+24 new YES$1.4K+27 new NO$1.4K
$455 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
8 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $622 is directional: YES $622·NO $0
YES Team
Total Invested
$873
Avg Win Rate
65.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$67(+7.7%)
Whales
8
M
molodoyy🥇
Entry 52¢·1,000 shares
+$29INV $516 · WR 65.1%
D
Dondigidin🥈
Entry 50¢·400 shares
+$36INV $200 · WR 64.1%
S
SingletonFamilyFund🥉
Entry 51¢·149.1 shares
+$5INV $76 · WR 72.7%
H
hithitfarhedged
Entry 66¢·56.8 shares·also $53 on NO
$-4INV $38 · WR 58.7%
B
0xbadaf319...hedged
Entry 66¢·20 shares·also $16 on NO
$-1INV $13 · WR 67.0%
L
likeajj
Entry 51¢·20 shares
+$1INV $10 · WR 56.0%
1
0x11b71f2c...
Entry 52¢·19.6 shares
+$0INV $10 · WR 59.6%
F
fastpeter
Entry 48¢·20 shares
+$1INV $10 · WR 63.6%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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