Tech/AI5 days left
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$3.1K
261 trades
Smart Whales
48
of 151 traders
Next Claude Opus released by...?
7 MARKETS · $98.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
16 YESvs32 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 16 YES vs 31 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 72%· net of hedges
+75 new YES$877+90 new NO$2.0K
$297 of this was bought on both sides by the same 13 buyers — left out of momentum
17 smart whales31 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.2K is directional: YES $27·NO $1.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$27
Avg Win Rate
65.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$18(-67.1%)
Whales
16
F
fastpeter🥇
Entry 52¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $10 · WR 63.6%
7
0x700b38b3...🥈
Entry 22¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 70.4%
B
0xbd7c4e7b...🥉
Entry 22¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 63.2%
4
0x4a093c2b...
Entry 22¢·6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 75.8%
2
0x223e0802...
Entry 22¢·5.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 83.9%
1
0x168dfefe...
Entry 22¢·4.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 71.4%
6
0x6e91604c...
Entry 22¢·4.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 68.2%
8
0x8587ad1c...
Entry 22¢·4.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 61.1%
8
0x879c7b61...
Entry 22¢·4.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 56.0%
A
0xa67a933b...
Entry 22¢·4.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 56.7%
Showing top 10 of 16
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
82.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$281(+23.5%)
Whales
32
C
CosmicCedar🥇
Entry 81¢·966 shares
Invested
$785
Win Rate
90.1%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $785 · WR 90.1%
T
The-Joker🥈
Entry 57¢·514.6 shares
Invested
$292
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
+$169
+$169INV $292 · WR 70.9%
N
NoTeacher🥉
Entry 79¢·99.9 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $79 · WR 56.8%
7
0x7315c16f...
Entry 81¢·2.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 59.5%
F
0xf9efc7ce...
Entry 81¢·2.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 63.6%
F
0xf74fab9f...
Entry 56¢·3.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 60.0%
E
0xe1936853...
Entry 81¢·2.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 62.8%
D
0xd5d02bda...
Entry 81¢·2.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 57.1%
E
0xeb867443...
Entry 56¢·2.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 63.6%
A
0xaf8ffe9b...
Entry 79¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 64.3%
Showing top 10 of 32
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 423ms