Tech/AI2 days left
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 17, 2026?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$7.1K
206 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 93 traders
Next Claude Opus released by...?
7 MARKETS · $97.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs9 NO
55%45%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+69 new YES$979+39 new NO$5.1K
$369 of this was bought on both sides by the same 14 buyers — left out of momentum
13 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.0K is directional: YES $64·NO $1.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$82
Avg Win Rate
58.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$47(-57.7%)
Whales
11
S
Stupendous-Innerstate🥇
Entry 10¢·500 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $50 · WR 56.4%
K
kevaldas🥈
Entry 83¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $17 · WR 58.1%
R
rher🥉
Entry 15¢·20 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 69.6%
2
0x2f6d5728...
Entry 25¢·9.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 56.0%
6
6sFjgt22jX8tME
Entry 7¢·27.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 60.9%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 1¢·206.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $2 · WR 72.4%
7
0x735073af...
Entry 21¢·8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 55.0%
F
0xf9404a75...
Entry 25¢·6.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 70.0%
P
parameter1
Entry 17¢·6.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 61.1%
0
0x0b412c7f...
Entry 25¢·4.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 58.5%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
74.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$290(+15.0%)
Whales
9
T
The-Joker🥇
Entry 78¢·1,022.4 shares
Invested
$802
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
+$169
+$169INV $802 · WR 70.9%
C
CosmicCedar🥈
Entry 86¢·648 shares
Invested
$554
Win Rate
90.1%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $554 · WR 90.1%
G
gj0🥉
Entry 89¢·608.3 shares
Invested
$538
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $538 · WR 62.9%
H
higheor
Entry 85¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $17 · WR 71.8%
E
ethhdor
Entry 85¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $17 · WR 62.5%
N
NoTeacher
Entry 84¢·6.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 56.8%
M
merau
Entry 15¢·16.6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $3 · WR 73.9%
7
0x7949087c...
Entry 78¢·2.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 64.4%
A
0xaf8ffe9b...
Entry 90¢·1.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 64.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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