Politics41 days left
Will United Russia (ER) win 60% or more of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$9.6K
337 trades
Smart Whales
36
of 114 traders · 1 on both sides
Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share?
6 MARKETS · $21.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will United Russia (ER) win less than 40% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election
0¢+50¢$1462/2Will United Russia (ER) win less than 40% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election+50¢0¢
$1462/2
Will United Russia (ER) win 40-45% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election
0¢+83¢$4785/1Will United Russia (ER) win 40-45% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election+83¢0¢
$4785/1
Will United Russia (ER) win 45-50% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election
4¢+25¢$4.0K2/5Will United Russia (ER) win 45-50% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election+25¢4¢
$4.0K2/5
Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election
21¢+8¢$4.7K2/5Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election+8¢21¢
$4.7K2/5
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Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs28 NO
24%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 10% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
+60 new YES$1.2K+85 new NO$11.1K
$720 of this was bought on both sides by the same 29 buyers — left out of momentum
8 smart whales31 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$39 of $1.3K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $128·NO $1.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$153
Avg Win Rate
63.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$75(-48.6%)
Whales
9
P
Porx🥇
Entry 6¢·1,015.4 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $61 · WR 66.3%
B
Bobic🥈
Entry 10¢·520.9 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $52 · WR 57.3%
B
balthazar🥉hedged
Entry 17¢·117.7 shares·also $65 on NO
Invested
$20
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $20 · WR 71.9%
B
balerinacapuchina
Entry 85¢·6.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 69.4%
M
mountaindewd
Entry 84¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 56.4%
M
MuG3Nx
Entry 12¢·25 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 64.0%
L
lightsout912
Entry 6¢·50 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 69.5%
C
C2H5O
Entry 2¢·12.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 61.0%
Showing top 8 of 9
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.0K
Avg Win Rate
75.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+41.1%)
Whales
28
H
highstakebet🥇
Entry 64¢·2,244.2 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$683
+$683INV $1.4K · WR 85.8%
V
vinii🥈
Entry 93¢·1,100 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $1.0K · WR 65.6%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 50¢·647.6 shares
Invested
$324
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$289
+$289INV $324 · WR 79.5%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 52¢·495.8 shares
Invested
$255
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$214
+$214INV $255 · WR 58.5%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 55¢·215.9 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
+$86
+$86INV $118 · WR 78.6%
M
melchior1248
Entry 50¢·231.6 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$103
+$103INV $116 · WR 68.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 53¢·211.1 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$87
+$87INV $113 · WR 79.2%
L
Lucerys
Entry 60¢·150.8 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $91 · WR 85.8%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 96¢·68.1 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $65 · WR 58.6%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 98¢·66.1 shares·also $20 on YES
Invested
$65
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $65 · WR 71.9%
Showing top 10 of 28
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