Politics41 days left
Will United Russia (ER) win 40-45% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$478
39 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 22 traders · 1 on both sides
Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share?
6 MARKETS · $21.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will United Russia (ER) win less than 40% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election
0¢+50¢$1462/2Will United Russia (ER) win less than 40% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election+50¢0¢
$1462/2
Will United Russia (ER) win 40-45% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election←
0¢+83¢$4785/1Will United Russia (ER) win 40-45% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election←+83¢0¢
$4785/1
Will United Russia (ER) win 45-50% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election
4¢+25¢$4.0K2/5Will United Russia (ER) win 45-50% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election+25¢4¢
$4.0K2/5
Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election
21¢+8¢$4.7K2/5Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election+8¢21¢
$4.7K2/5
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Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs4 NO
67%33%
67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 78% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$11+11 new NO$553
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $401 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $310·NO $90YES Team
Total Invested
$311
Avg Win Rate
79.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$310(-99.7%)
Whales
8
H
highstakebet🥇
Entry 17¢·952 shares
Invested
$159
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-158
$-158INV $159 · WR 85.8%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 17¢·269.2 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $45 · WR 71.9%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich🥉hedged
Entry 17¢·219 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$36
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $36 · WR 58.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 14¢·243.8 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $33 · WR 79.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 17¢·110.1 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $18 · WR 79.2%
W
Wonderful-Disgust
Entry 10¢·100 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 73.3%
L
Lucerys
Entry 17¢·50.4 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 85.8%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 10¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 66.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$200
Avg Win Rate
57.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$119(+59.7%)
Whales
4
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon🥇
Entry 50¢·199.3 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $100 · WR 58.6%
F
Flipadelphia🥈
Entry 90¢·100 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $90 · WR 56.8%
S
Shallow-Diadem🥉
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 58.4%
C
Comfortable-Sandwichhedged
Entry 100¢·0.6 shares·also $36 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
—
—INV $1 · WR 58.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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