Politics41 days left
Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?
YES Price
74¢
74% implied
NO Price
26¢
26% implied
Volume
$2.5K
233 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 88 traders
Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share?
6 MARKETS · $21.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will United Russia (ER) win less than 40% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election
0¢+50¢$1462/2Will United Russia (ER) win less than 40% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election+50¢0¢
$1462/2
Will United Russia (ER) win 40-45% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election
0¢+83¢$4785/1Will United Russia (ER) win 40-45% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election+83¢0¢
$4785/1
Will United Russia (ER) win 45-50% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election
4¢+25¢$4.0K2/5Will United Russia (ER) win 45-50% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election+25¢4¢
$4.0K2/5
Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election
21¢+8¢$4.7K2/5Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election+8¢21¢
$4.7K2/5
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Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs18 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 93% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 55%· net of hedges
+37 new YES$2.6K+64 new NO$2.1K
$319 of this was bought on both sides by the same 13 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales21 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $93 is directional: YES $86·NO $7YES Team
Total Invested
$91
Avg Win Rate
63.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$111(+121.3%)
Whales
7
R
Romiche22🥇
Entry 75¢·40 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $30 · WR 57.7%
C
Careful-Bunch🥈
Entry 79¢·33.1 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $26 · WR 55.3%
D
DARLAMARLA🥉
Entry 36¢·38 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
78.8%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $14 · WR 78.8%
L
lightsout912
Entry 36¢·25 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $9 · WR 69.5%
S
ssecondooption
Entry 17¢·34.1 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $6 · WR 62.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 7¢·80 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $6 · WR 79.5%
B
big-bird1
Entry 82¢·1.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
—
—INV $1 · WR 68.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$864
Avg Win Rate
75.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$251(-29.0%)
Whales
18
H
highstakebet🥇
Entry 32¢·1,180.1 shares
Invested
$376
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-63
$-63INV $376 · WR 85.8%
P
Pure-Eyeliner🥈
Entry 49¢·212.4 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $105 · WR 55.0%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 48¢·170.4 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $81 · WR 85.8%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 49¢·128.4 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $63 · WR 58.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 38¢·152.2 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $58 · WR 79.2%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 48¢·99.1 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $47 · WR 78.6%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 32¢·71 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $23 · WR 58.4%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 45¢·48.7 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $22 · WR 58.5%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 37¢·55.8 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $21 · WR 58.6%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 33¢·53.6 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $18 · WR 58.6%
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