Politics41 days left
Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?
YES Price
21¢
21% implied
NO Price
79¢
79% implied
Volume
$4.7K
332 trades
Smart Whales
28
of 97 traders · 2 on both sides
Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share?
6 MARKETS · $21.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will United Russia (ER) win less than 40% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election
0¢+50¢$1462/2Will United Russia (ER) win less than 40% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election+50¢0¢
$1462/2
Will United Russia (ER) win 40-45% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election
0¢+83¢$4785/1Will United Russia (ER) win 40-45% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election+83¢0¢
$4785/1
Will United Russia (ER) win 45-50% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election
4¢+25¢$4.0K2/5Will United Russia (ER) win 45-50% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election+25¢4¢
$4.0K2/5
Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election←
21¢+8¢$4.7K2/5Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election←+8¢21¢
$4.7K2/5
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Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs21 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 39% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 1 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 59%· net of hedges
+58 new YES$3.1K+67 new NO$4.1K
$1.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 27 buyers — left out of momentum
8 smart whales22 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$35 of $337 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $119·NO $184YES Team
Total Invested
$145
Avg Win Rate
66.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$106(-72.8%)
Whales
9
B
Bobic🥇
Entry 44¢·173.5 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-61
$-61INV $77 · WR 57.3%
S
spyisgod🥈hedged
Entry 57¢·40 shares·also $17 on NO
Invested
$23
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $23 · WR 87.0%
S
shred7777🥉
Entry 53¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
90.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $11 · WR 90.7%
W
Weird-Underclothes
Entry 49¢·20.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $10 · WR 60.0%
R
Romiche22
Entry 21¢·40 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $8 · WR 57.7%
L
Lucerys
Entry 17¢·39.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $7 · WR 85.8%
C
Comfortable-Sandwichhedged
Entry 17¢·3 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 58.3%
P
prognozu
Entry 11¢·3.4 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 86.2%
Showing top 8 of 9
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.7K
Avg Win Rate
76.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.3K(+48.6%)
Whales
21
H
highstakebet🥇
Entry 50¢·2,171.2 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$633
+$633INV $1.1K · WR 85.8%
M
mustbethewater🥈
Entry 50¢·647.6 shares
Invested
$324
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$188
+$188INV $324 · WR 79.5%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 51¢·571.2 shares
Invested
$289
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$162
+$162INV $289 · WR 71.9%
C
Careful-Bunch
Entry 75¢·243.6 shares
Invested
$184
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $184 · WR 55.3%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 53¢·280.8 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $150 · WR 58.6%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 50¢·286.4 shares
Invested
$145
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$82
+$82INV $145 · WR 55.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 55¢·232.4 shares
Invested
$127
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $127 · WR 79.2%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 50¢·172 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $86 · WR 78.6%
W
Wonderful-Disgust
Entry 127¢·61 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $78 · WR 73.3%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 53¢·90.5 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $48 · WR 58.6%
Showing top 10 of 21
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