Geopolitics39 days left
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?
YES Price
11¢
11% implied
NO Price
89¢
89% implied
Volume
$3.7K
179 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 72 traders
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?
3 MARKETS · $8.3K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs10 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 9% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$59+5 new NO$317
$50 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $768 is directional: YES $66·NO $702YES Team
Total Invested
$85
Avg Win Rate
60.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$13(-15.2%)
Whales
5
T
theta-thunberg🥇
Entry 8¢·534 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $43 · WR 56.8%
S
star888888888🥈hedged
Entry 94¢·20 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $19 · WR 57.1%
A
allofit🥉
Entry 76¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $15 · WR 68.4%
M
Malganis
Entry 13¢·44.7 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 75.9%
M
MEPP
Entry 4¢·52.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $2 · WR 64.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$703
Avg Win Rate
71.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$86(+12.3%)
Whales
10
P
PaddyAlpha🥇
Entry 92¢·387.8 shares
Invested
$359
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $359 · WR 69.2%
G
Gluckyklucky🥈
Entry 84¢·237.1 shares
Invested
$199
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $199 · WR 81.6%
B
bakayo33 - 9934🥉
Entry 73¢·100 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $73 · WR 61.0%
K
Konfucious
Entry 81¢·59.4 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $48 · WR 62.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 55¢·35.3 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $19 · WR 72.0%
E
Exotic-Scholar
Entry 96¢·2.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 59.6%
L
L2FLP
Entry 4¢·30 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $1 · WR 71.9%
O
osmych
Entry 90¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 100.0%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 80¢·1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 69.5%
S
star888888888hedged
Entry 1¢·30 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$0
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $0 · WR 57.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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