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Geopolitics100 days left

France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$3.0K
175 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 61 traders

France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

3 MARKETS · $8.3K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs6 NO
54%46%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 9% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$48+10 new NO$198
$65 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $509 is directional: YES $45·NO $464
YES Team
Total Invested
$72
Avg Win Rate
62.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$15(+21.0%)
Whales
7
T
theta-thunberg🥇
Entry 7¢·345.8 shares
+$25INV $24 · WR 56.8%
S
star888888888🥈hedged
Entry 66¢·16 shares·also $13 on NO
$-8INV $10 · WR 57.1%
H
hithitfar🥉hedged
Entry 79¢·12.3 shares·also $1 on NO
$-8INV $10 · WR 58.8%
M
Mustafalafel
Entry 5¢·165.8 shares
+$15INV $8 · WR 62.3%
M
melchior1248
Entry 50¢·13.9 shares
$-5INV $7 · WR 68.4%
M
Malganis
Entry 19¢·36 shares
$-2INV $7 · WR 75.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 17¢·35.3 shares
$-1INV $6 · WR 72.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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