Geopolitics55 days left
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$6.6K
198 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 96 traders
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs7 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.5K is directional: YES $42·NO $1.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$47
Avg Win Rate
60.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$9(-18.8%)
Whales
6
T
theta-thunberg🥇
Entry 7¢·345.8 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $24 · WR 56.3%
K
Konfucious🥈
Entry 5¢·156.2 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 63.9%
M
Mustafalafel🥉
Entry 5¢·165.8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 61.7%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 43¢·8.3 shares·also $9 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 71.9%
M
melchior1248
Entry 22¢·7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 69.8%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 14¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 68.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
76.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$22(+1.5%)
Whales
7
A
AztecaBull🥇
Entry 95¢·629.3 shares
Invested
$600
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $600 · WR 88.1%
P
Porx🥈
Entry 92¢·420 shares
Invested
$388
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $388 · WR 66.3%
P
PaddyAlpha🥉
Entry 88¢·220 shares
Invested
$194
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $194 · WR 67.4%
S
sety
Entry 95¢·200 shares
Invested
$190
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $190 · WR 69.0%
E
EconomistOx
Entry 87¢·62.3 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $54 · WR 85.0%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 95¢·10 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$9
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 71.9%
Q
QMG-ALPHAC
Entry 96¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 80.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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