Geopolitics4 days left
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?
YES Price
44¢
44% implied
NO Price
56¢
56% implied
Volume
$3.3K
215 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 66 traders
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 14?
5 MARKETS · $8.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20
26¢+14¢$2.2K4/6Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20+14¢26¢
$2.2K4/6
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20
19¢+19¢$1.2K3/5Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20+19¢19¢
$1.2K3/5
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20
8¢+14¢$1.1K2/7Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20+14¢8¢
$1.1K2/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs7 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 70%· net of hedges
+29 new YES$663+29 new NO$1.3K
$411 of this was bought on both sides by the same 16 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $208 is directional: YES $203·NO $5YES Team
Total Invested
$221
Avg Win Rate
69.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$182(+82.4%)
Whales
9
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 20¢·700 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$168
+$168INV $140 · WR 71.8%
S
Started-with-20-USD🥈
Entry 34¢·122.2 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $42 · WR 59.0%
J
j0hanz🥉
Entry 52¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
93.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 93.8%
L
lilpumpGCG
Entry 45¢·20 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $9 · WR 66.0%
R
RememberAmalek
Entry 22¢·33.6 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $7 · WR 65.1%
C
Careful-Bunchhedged
Entry 112¢·6.6 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $7 · WR 55.5%
B
Balancedmind
Entry 43¢·8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 57.1%
Y
yueyueyn
Entry 25¢·4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 63.0%
L
Lucerys
Entry 24¢·1.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 85.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$162
Avg Win Rate
82.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$12(-7.5%)
Whales
7
M
midturn.rekt🥇
Entry 58¢·90 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $52 · WR 85.9%
S
SpringlyFawl🥈
Entry 67¢·59 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $40 · WR 77.6%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 62¢·47.4 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $29 · WR 88.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 64¢·29.9 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $19 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 56¢·26.1 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $15 · WR 79.4%
M
Melodic-Salmon
Entry 56¢·8.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
—
—INV $5 · WR 63.5%
C
Careful-Bunchhedged
Entry 42¢·6.6 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 55.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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