Geopolitics4 days left
Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$1.1K
107 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 35 traders
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 14?
5 MARKETS · $8.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20
26¢+14¢$2.2K4/6Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20+14¢26¢
$2.2K4/6
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20
19¢+19¢$1.2K3/5Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20+19¢19¢
$1.2K3/5
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20
8¢+14¢$1.1K2/7Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20+14¢8¢
$1.1K2/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs10 NO
9%91%
91% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 74% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$57+19 new NO$539
$56 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $189 is directional: YES $140·NO $49YES Team
Total Invested
$140
Avg Win Rate
71.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$98(-70.0%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$396
Avg Win Rate
84.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$223(+56.1%)
Whales
10
M
midturn.rekt🥇
Entry 50¢·180 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$85
+$85INV $90 · WR 85.9%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 87¢·80 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $70 · WR 89.2%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 75¢·79 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $59 · WR 79.4%
S
SpringlyFawl
Entry 50¢·118 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $59 · WR 77.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·94 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $47 · WR 85.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 95¢·40 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $38 · WR 88.2%
L
Lucerys
Entry 52¢·25.4 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $13 · WR 85.4%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 91¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 79.2%
J
jollyblue
Entry 84¢·7 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
73.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 73.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 94¢·5.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 87.7%
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