Geopolitics4 days left
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?
YES Price
19¢
19% implied
NO Price
81¢
81% implied
Volume
$1.2K
124 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 44 traders
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 14?
5 MARKETS · $8.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20
26¢+14¢$2.2K4/6Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20+14¢26¢
$2.2K4/6
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20←
19¢+19¢$1.2K3/5Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20←+19¢19¢
$1.2K3/5
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20
8¢+14¢$1.1K2/7Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20+14¢8¢
$1.1K2/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs8 NO
43%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 48% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 83%· net of hedges
+16 new YES$147+21 new NO$561
$87 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales9 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $324 is directional: YES $155·NO $169YES Team
Total Invested
$155
Avg Win Rate
71.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$6(-3.9%)
Whales
6
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 20¢·700 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $140 · WR 71.8%
S
scherahmeda🥈
Entry 20¢·25 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 61.2%
J
JAMJAMJAM4🥉
Entry 20¢·25 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 56.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 20¢·11.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 87.7%
A
aliiz
Entry 11¢·21 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2 · WR 67.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 24¢·1.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 85.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$488
Avg Win Rate
78.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$171(+35.0%)
Whales
8
M
midturn.rekt🥇
Entry 50¢·180 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $90 · WR 85.9%
R
RememberAmalek🥈
Entry 85¢·100 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $85 · WR 65.1%
E
Everestpredictions🥉
Entry 84¢·100 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $84 · WR 71.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·160.9 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $80 · WR 88.2%
S
SpringlyFawl
Entry 56¢·118 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $66 · WR 77.6%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 58¢·70 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $41 · WR 79.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·71 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $35 · WR 79.4%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·14 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $7 · WR 85.7%
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