Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$3.0K
126 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 54 traders
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $24.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs12 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 46% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 70%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$173+10 new NO$385
$15 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
2 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $341 is directional: YES $156·NO $185YES Team
Total Invested
$331
Avg Win Rate
69.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$297(-89.6%)
Whales
4
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 88¢·200 shares·also $71 on NO
Invested
$175
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
$-168
$-168INV $175 · WR 65.6%
B
BlondBeast🥈
Entry 24¢·565.5 shares
Invested
$133
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-108
$-108INV $133 · WR 74.1%
S
Snoorrason🥉
Entry 48¢·46.7 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $22 · WR 72.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 10¢·1.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 89.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$555
Avg Win Rate
72.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$440(+79.2%)
Whales
12
B
BiDiFakePolls🥇
Entry 76¢·200 shares
Invested
$152
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $152 · WR 59.6%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 55¢·232.7 shares
Invested
$128
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$97
+$97INV $128 · WR 88.1%
J
JustClickeverywhere🥉
Entry 55¢·171.4 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
+$71
+$71INV $95 · WR 78.6%
V
viniihedged
Entry 36¢·200 shares·also $175 on YES
Invested
$71
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$122
+$122INV $71 · WR 65.6%
K
KiruaTrading
Entry 39¢·80.6 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $31 · WR 59.9%
6
0x6b09b7f5...
Entry 50¢·46.7 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $23 · WR 84.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 62¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $16 · WR 79.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $15 · WR 66.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 50¢·25.4 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $13 · WR 86.0%
H
highstake.sport
Entry 47¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 85.8%
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