Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 2-5%?
YES Price
96¢
96% implied
NO Price
4¢
4% implied
Volume
$4.9K
150 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 59 traders
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $24.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs12 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 50% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 56%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$369+15 new NO$288
$29 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $581 is directional: YES $290·NO $290YES Team
Total Invested
$388
Avg Win Rate
68.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$500(+128.9%)
Whales
7
M
mirand🥇
Entry 99¢·140 shares
Invested
$139
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $139 · WR 66.9%
P
Parz1vaI🥈
Entry 34¢·365 shares
Invested
$122
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$220
+$220INV $122 · WR 71.4%
V
vinii🥉
Entry 27¢·289.3 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$201
+$201INV $77 · WR 65.6%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 53¢·38 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $20 · WR 85.5%
G
G.Hchen
Entry 29¢·52.1 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $15 · WR 57.2%
B
BlondBeast
Entry 25¢·49 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $12 · WR 74.1%
M
matjones21
Entry 40¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $2 · WR 67.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$937
Avg Win Rate
65.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$853(-91.1%)
Whales
12
I
InterestingUser🥇
Entry 50¢·944 shares
Invested
$475
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-440
$-440INV $475 · WR 64.3%
J
JAMJAMJAM4🥈
Entry 56¢·321 shares
Invested
$180
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-160
$-160INV $180 · WR 55.6%
B
BiDiFakePolls🥉
Entry 65¢·160 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-94
$-94INV $104 · WR 59.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 30¢·156.2 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $47 · WR 89.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 65¢·47.5 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $31 · WR 79.2%
F
0xf5f44c96...
Entry 59¢·46.7 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $28 · WR 84.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 53¢·30 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $16 · WR 66.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 78¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $16 · WR 88.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 50¢·25.4 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $13 · WR 86.0%
H
highstake.sport
Entry 78¢·14.4 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 85.8%
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