Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 10% or more?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$558
55 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 30 traders
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $24.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 22% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+5 new YES$0+4 new NO$103
0 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $114 is directional: YES $25·NO $89YES Team
Total Invested
$25
Avg Win Rate
84.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$21(-86.5%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$264
Avg Win Rate
78.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$142(+53.9%)
Whales
10
S
Snoorrason🥇
Entry 96¢·92.8 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $89 · WR 72.7%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $40 · WR 87.5%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 99¢·25.4 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $25 · WR 86.0%
4
0x487bc9f3...
Entry 50¢·46.7 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
79.8%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $23 · WR 79.8%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 99¢·21.9 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $22 · WR 78.6%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 66¢·30 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $20 · WR 66.1%
M
Moral-Stamp
Entry 99¢·19.8 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 83.0%
H
highstake.sport
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 85.8%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 88.7%
S
Subdued-Pasta
Entry 9¢·55 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $5 · WR 85.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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