Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 5-10%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$7.0K
154 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 64 traders
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $24.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs10 NO
38%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 96%
+9 new YES$4+4 new NO$94
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.5K is directional: YES $203·NO $1.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$253
Avg Win Rate
69.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$226(-89.1%)
Whales
6
P
Parz1vaI🥇
Entry 28¢·601 shares
Invested
$171
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-153
$-153INV $171 · WR 71.4%
G
G.Hchen🥈hedged
Entry 108¢·47 shares·also $70 on NO
Invested
$51
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $51 · WR 57.2%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 11¢·121.2 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $13 · WR 89.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 11¢·104.8 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $12 · WR 79.2%
D
Dutchland
Entry 10¢·49.4 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $5 · WR 74.3%
K
KiruaTrading
Entry 7¢·24.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 59.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
74.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$199(+13.0%)
Whales
10
S
Snoorrason🥇
Entry 91¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$905
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $905 · WR 72.7%
S
SuAlteza🥈
Entry 90¢·300 shares
Invested
$270
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $270 · WR 86.9%
G
GamGanapati🥉
Entry 90¢·170 shares
Invested
$154
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $154 · WR 70.5%
G
G.Hchenhedged
Entry 148¢·47 shares·also $51 on YES
Invested
$70
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $70 · WR 57.2%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 50¢·89.6 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
78.6%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $45 · WR 78.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·70 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $35 · WR 85.7%
6
0x60379060...
Entry 61¢·46.7 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $28 · WR 81.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 60¢·30 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $18 · WR 66.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 23¢·13.4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $3 · WR 86.0%
H
highstake.sport
Entry 7¢·9.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $1 · WR 85.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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