Geopolitics6 days left

Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?

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YES Price

16¢

16% implied

NO Price

84¢

84% implied

Volume

$579

55 trades

Smart Whales

8

of 31 traders

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 7?

6 MARKETS · $5.1K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13

26¢+12¢$3593/5

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13+12¢26¢

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13

28¢−8¢$5802/8

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13−8¢28¢

Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13←

16¢−16¢$5790/5

Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13←−16¢16¢

Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13

6¢+14¢$1.0K1/4

Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13+14¢6¢

Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13

3¢−3¢$1.3K0/7

Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13−3¢3¢

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13

25¢0¢$1.3K1/3

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 130¢25¢

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Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs6 NO

25%75%

75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges

+6 new YES$47+8 new NO$261

$19 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum

1 smart whale1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $117 is directional: YES $117·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$150

Avg Win Rate

68.5%

Aggregate P&L

-$48(-32.1%)

Whales

2

Entry 17¢·700 shares

$-26INV $117 · WR 71.8%

Entry 50¢·66 shares

$-22INV $33 · WR 56.8%

NO Team

Total Invested

$57

Avg Win Rate

82.6%

Aggregate P&L

+$33(+58.3%)

Whales

6

northdrawer🥇

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$7INV $10 · WR 87.4%

plainfolder🥈

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$7INV $10 · WR 85.6%

quietparcel🥉

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$7INV $10 · WR 88.9%

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$7INV $10 · WR 89.3%

Entry 83¢·10 shares

+$0INV $8 · WR 63.8%

Entry 50¢·16.5 shares

+$6INV $8 · WR 76.5%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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