Geopolitics6 days left
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?
YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$580
89 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 51 traders
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 7?
6 MARKETS · $5.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13
26¢+12¢$3593/5Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13+12¢26¢
$3593/5
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13←
27¢−7¢$5802/8Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13←−7¢27¢
$5802/8
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13
16¢−16¢$5790/5Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13−16¢16¢
$5790/5
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13
6¢+14¢$1.0K1/4Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13+14¢6¢
$1.0K1/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs12 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 89% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 63%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$38+10 new NO$64
$3 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
2 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $140 is directional: YES $124·NO $16YES Team
Total Invested
$131
Avg Win Rate
70.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$67(+51.2%)
Whales
5
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 17¢·700 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $117 · WR 71.8%
8
0x8374bc79...🥈
Entry 50¢·14.3 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $7 · WR 62.2%
F
fi5h🥉
Entry 20¢·20 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 61.8%
E
0xe88bea16...
Entry 27¢·7.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 55.4%
C
ccttoo
Entry 21¢·6.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 69.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$66
Avg Win Rate
77.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$17(+26.6%)
Whales
12
S
smallreceipt🥇
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $20 · WR 89.3%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 89.5%
Z
zoukmachine38🥉
Entry 50¢·16.8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
76.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $8 · WR 76.5%
M
maomao228
Entry 79¢·10.6 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 63.8%
X
xuniang
Entry 80¢·3.7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 66.7%
D
0xd57d06c1...
Entry 50¢·5.5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 64.6%
W
wisiki
Entry 80¢·3.4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 65.4%
L
lmEn
Entry 80¢·3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 71.4%
2
0x263c389c...
Entry 74¢·2.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 58.7%
9
0x9e19d6c4...
Entry 74¢·2.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 60.3%
Showing top 10 of 12
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 177ms