Geopolitics6 days left

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?

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YES Price

26¢

26% implied

NO Price

74¢

74% implied

Volume

$359

47 trades

Smart Whales

9

of 28 traders

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 7?

6 MARKETS · $5.1K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13←

26¢+12¢$3593/5

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13←+12¢26¢

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13

28¢−8¢$5802/8

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13−8¢28¢

Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13

16¢−16¢$5790/5

Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13−16¢16¢

Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13

6¢+14¢$1.0K1/4

Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13+14¢6¢

Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13

3¢−3¢$1.3K0/7

Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13−3¢3¢

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13

25¢0¢$1.3K1/3

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 130¢25¢

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Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs6 NO

33%67%

67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 73%· net of hedges

+3 new YES$15+2 new NO$35

$7 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum

0 smart whales1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $138 is directional: YES $138·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$138

Avg Win Rate

69.7%

Aggregate P&L

+$72(+51.8%)

Whales

3

Entry 17¢·700 shares

+$62INV $117 · WR 71.8%

Entry 17¢·92.6 shares

+$8INV $16 · WR 56.8%

Entry 19¢·30 shares

+$2INV $6 · WR 61.8%

NO Team

Total Invested

$50

Avg Win Rate

83.3%

Aggregate P&L

+$18(+35.1%)

Whales

6

quietparcel🥇

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$5INV $10 · WR 88.9%

northdrawer🥈

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$5INV $10 · WR 87.4%

god83743894🥉

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$5INV $10 · WR 84.9%

Entry 50¢·16.6 shares

+$4INV $8 · WR 76.5%

Entry 83¢·10 shares

$-1INV $8 · WR 85.6%

Entry 79¢·4.8 shares

$-0INV $4 · WR 63.8%

Smart Whale Trades

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