Geopolitics6 days left

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

25¢

25% implied

NO Price

75¢

75% implied

Volume

$1.3K

74 trades

Smart Whales

7

of 36 traders

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 7?

6 MARKETS · $5.1K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13

26¢+12¢$3593/5

Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13+12¢26¢

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13

28¢−8¢$5802/8

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13−8¢28¢

Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13

16¢−16¢$5790/5

Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13−16¢16¢

Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13

6¢+14¢$1.0K1/4

Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13+14¢6¢

Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13

3¢−3¢$1.3K0/7

Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13−3¢3¢

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13←

25¢0¢$1.3K1/3

Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13←0¢25¢

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Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs5 NO

29%71%

71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 74%

+7 new YES$30+7 new NO$88

1 smart whale2 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $131 is directional: YES $124·NO $7

YES Team

Total Invested

$124

Avg Win Rate

71.2%

Aggregate P&L

+$52(+41.8%)

Whales

2

Entry 17¢·700 shares

+$51INV $117 · WR 71.8%

Entry 23¢·30 shares

+$0INV $7 · WR 61.8%

NO Team

Total Invested

$81

Avg Win Rate

81.3%

Aggregate P&L

+$13(+16.2%)

Whales

5

plainfolder🥇

Entry 67¢·40 shares

+$3INV $27 · WR 85.6%

Bananchik1999🥈

Entry 64¢·40 shares

+$5INV $25 · WR 78.6%

zoukmachine38🥉

Entry 73¢·16.7 shares

+$0INV $12 · WR 76.5%

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$5INV $10 · WR 88.2%

Entry 78¢·9 shares

$-0INV $7 · WR 72.7%

Smart Whale Trades

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