Economics93 days left
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
YES Price
31¢
31% implied
NO Price
69¢
69% implied
Volume
$10.9K
214 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 64 traders
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
11 MARKETS · $585.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)
49¢−4¢$321.1K60/74Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)−4¢49¢
$321.1K60/74
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)
34¢+4¢$250.9K24/39Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)+4¢34¢
$250.9K24/39
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
10¢−10¢$3140/5Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)−10¢10¢
$3140/5
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
21¢−7¢$4991/6Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)−7¢21¢
$4991/6
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
6¢+19¢$2161/3Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)+19¢6¢
$2161/3
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
14¢−14¢$4290/4Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)−14¢14¢
$4290/4
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
7¢+18¢$4682/6Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)+18¢7¢
$4682/6
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)←
31¢−6¢$10.9K3/9Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)←−6¢31¢
$10.9K3/9
Will the Fed Pause–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)
4¢−4¢$2370/3Will the Fed Pause–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)−4¢4¢
$2370/3
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs9 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 75%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$456+19 new NO$1.3K
$48 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5.1K is directional: YES $100·NO $5.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$100
Avg Win Rate
61.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$19(-18.7%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.1K
Avg Win Rate
71.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$489(+9.7%)
Whales
9
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 66¢·6,906.4 shares
Invested
$4.6K
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$415
+$415INV $4.6K · WR 71.8%
N
ndb1🥈
Entry 60¢·500.8 shares
Invested
$300
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $300 · WR 75.6%
E
Exotic-Scholar🥉
Entry 72¢·142.3 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $102 · WR 55.6%
A
aliiz
Entry 65¢·46.6 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $30 · WR 68.2%
M
m44
Entry 72¢·25 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $18 · WR 78.9%
W
wert4
Entry 64¢·23.7 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $15 · WR 68.4%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 89.5%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 65.5%
P
puravida
Entry 60¢·15 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $9 · WR 60.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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