Will Xavier Becerra win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?
YES Price
46¢
46% implied
NO Price
54¢
54% implied
Volume
$10.6K
453 trades
Smart Whales
27
of 142 traders
California Governor Election: Fresno County Winner
2 MARKETS · $23.6K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs19 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 67%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$140+7 new NO$268
$23 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.1K is directional: YES $1.1K·NO $19YES Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
63.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$323(+23.0%)
Whales
8
S
SnowLover7◆Proven🥇
Entry 35¢·2,441.1 shares
Invested
$854
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$317
+$317INV $854 · WR 66.2%
M
musicenthusiast🥈hedged
Entry 76¢·407.6 shares·also $200 on NO
Invested
$310
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
$-122
$-122INV $310 · WR 58.9%
J
johnashbough◆Proven🥉
Entry 67¢·116 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $78 · WR 56.2%
G
gambler925
Entry 21¢·326 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$87
+$87INV $69 · WR 56.9%
S
spaceloaf
Entry 25¢·200 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $50 · WR 63.5%
S
sweetj
Entry 30¢·81 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $24 · WR 74.4%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 35¢·20 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 68.9%
Showing top 7 of 8
NO Team
Total Invested
$865
Avg Win Rate
78.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$24(-2.7%)
Whales
19
M
musicenthusiast🥇hedged
Entry 49¢·407.6 shares·also $310 on YES
Invested
$200
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $200 · WR 58.9%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 66¢·232.6 shares
Invested
$153
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $153 · WR 79.6%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 62¢·225 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $140 · WR 88.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 64¢·152.4 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $97 · WR 87.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·170.4 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $85 · WR 88.7%
L
Lucerys
Entry 55¢·100.6 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $56 · WR 88.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 49¢·64.1 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $31 · WR 89.2%
C
cash-machine
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $20 · WR 85.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $18 · WR 66.6%
W
Winged-Holder
Entry 45¢·37 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $17 · WR 57.4%
Showing top 10 of 19
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